Guide

A company can show a rising bank balance because it raised a round while operating cash flow is deeply negative. The business did not "become cash-flow positive." The raise did.

Cash from operations     −$2.0M
Cash from financing      +$8.0M
Net change in cash       +$6.0M

Board dashboards should show operating burn and runway excluding financing, then show financing as discrete events.

Concept

Operating cash flow is cash from running the business. Financing cash flow is cash from investors and lenders. Investing cash flow is cash spent on long-lived assets. See the cash flow statement.

Walking through the illusion

You start the quarter with $3.0M. Operations drain $2.0M. You close an $8.0M round. Ending cash is $9.0M. Someone writes "we are cash-flow positive" on a slide. The operating machine still loses $2.0M a quarter. At that burn, the new $9.0M is about 13–14 months of runway if nothing changes — not a proof the model works.

The follow-up question that saves careers: operating cash-flow positive, or did we just close a round / a pile of annual invoices?

Annual invoices are operating, but they can create a similar illusion. A spike of prepaid enterprise deals makes one month look flush. The next eleven months still have to be delivered. See deferred revenue.

Failure modes engineers create

  1. Shipping annual-only without dunning and renewal ops — cash spikes, then a cliff when renewals fail silently.
  2. Unlimited usage on prepaid plans — deferred revenue is booked, inference COGS burns cash every day.
  3. Marketplace payouts that move money to sellers before buyers' payments clear.
  4. Capitalizing every eng hour into an asset to decorate the P&L — cash still left; you taught leadership the wrong lesson about burn.

Finance will ask engineering for capitalization decisions (R&D vs COGS vs capitalizable), prepaid vendor contracts, and infra-spend forecasts. Understanding the three statements keeps you from celebrating a "profitable" month that was one prepaid deal.

When you build or review a financial model, force it to output all three statements — even simplified. Models that only project "revenue and expenses" silently lie about cash.

Tip

When someone says "we're cash-flow positive," ask: operating, or did we just close a round? Then ask whether deferred revenue rose.

Common mistakes

  • Reading total cash change as health. Always split operating / investing / financing.
  • Calling a prepaid-invoice month "default alive." Check the next eleven months.
  • Decorating the P&L by capitalizing eng time. Cash does not care.

Check yourself

Operations −$2.0M, financing +$8.0M. Are you cash-flow positive as a business?

No. The bank went up because of a raise. Operating cash flow is still −$2.0M.

Why force a financial model to output all three statements?

A revenue-and-expense sheet hides working capital, capex and financing, so it lies about cash.

Key takeaways

  • Separate operating burn from financing events.
  • A raise is not proof the model works. It is more fuse.
  • Prepaid invoice spikes are operating, but they are still obligations.
  • If net income, cash burn and balance-sheet cash cannot be reconciled, distrust the spreadsheet.

Further learning

SaaS Metrics 2.0 (David Skok)“If you cannot measure it, you cannot improve it” – Lord Kelvin This article is a comprehensive and detailed look at the key metrics that are needed to understand and optimize a SaaS business. It is a completely updat…For Entrepreneurs Aswath Damodaran (NYU) resourcesDamodaran Online: Home Page for Aswath Damodaranpages.stern.nyu.edu

Back to the cash flow map.