Guide

Growing ARR is not enough. Two companies can both print 80% year-over-year growth while one spends $0.80 of net burn per new ARR dollar and the other spends $3. The first compounds optionality. The second is a round away from a down round. Burn multiple answers: how expensive was that growth?

David Sacks popularized it (Craft Ventures, 2020), flipping Bessemer's older Efficiency Score.

Concept

Net burn is cash out minus cash in over a period (roughly operating cash drain). Net new ARR is new + expansion − contraction − churn over the same period. See burn and runway for the cash side.

Walking through the formula

Burn multiple = Net burn / Net new ARR

(Bessemer Efficiency Score ≈ Net new ARR / Net burn — the reciprocal.)

Interpretation: how many dollars of net burn did we spend to add one dollar of ARR? Lower is better.

Burn multipleRead
Under 1×Excellent — growth is cheap
1–1.5×Strong
1.5–2×Acceptable early; fix by later stages
Over 2×Concerning — GTM, product, or cost structure
Over 3×Crisis unless hyper-growth and a clear path down

Over a year a company adds $4M net new ARR and burns $6M net.

Burn multiple = 6 / 4 = 1.5×

For each $1 of ARR added, $1.50 of cash left the building. After a cost cut that drops net burn to $4M with the same net new ARR, the multiple falls to 1.0× — same growth, far more fundable story.

Burn multiple is brutal and useful because it includes all spend — R&D, G&A, S&M — not just sales. A pretty magic number with a hideous burn multiple usually means the company is overbuilding product or overhead relative to GTM yield.

Do not game the ratio by booking low-quality ARR (heavy discounts, non-recurring "subscriptions," customers who will churn in 90 days). Diligence will unwind it; so will the next quarter's retention bridge.

Prefer trailing three-quarter averages when making hiring or fundraising claims. One quarter of prepaid enterprise deals can make any efficiency ratio look like a rocket.

Common mistakes

  • Booking junk ARR to decorate the multiple. Next quarter's churn unwinds it.
  • Reading it without magic number. You can look efficient on cash and sick on S&M, or the reverse.
  • One heroic quarter. Use a trailing average.

Check yourself

Net burn $6M, net new ARR $4M. Burn multiple?

1.5×. $1.50 of cash left for each $1 of ARR added.

Why can magic number look great while burn multiple looks sick?

Magic number only sees S&M. Burn multiple sees R&D and G&A too. Overhead can bloat the company while sales is efficient.

Key takeaways

  • Burn multiple = net burn / net new ARR. Under 1× is great; over 2× is usually a problem.
  • It includes all spend, so it is the company-wide efficiency lens.
  • Do not game it with low-quality ARR.
  • Use trailing averages. Pair it with magic number and retention.

Further learning

The Burn Multiple (Craft Ventures / David Sacks)As the economic crisis deepens, capital efficiency becomes a more pressing issue for startups.craftventures.com

Next, magic number.